On Government Hog Tied

So, if we try to project (always fun, bur never much good for prediction) on how the Obama government, whose legacy is becoming more and more likely to be one of minor or no accomplishment, will affect the  future, what do we guess?
I’m going to make some  wild speculation.  First, I think the next administration- or perhaps the one after it-will be extraordinarily strong in terms of creating change.  Whether it is Republican, Democratic or something else is more difficult to anticipate.
The idea that it is even possible that it might be lead by a different party from the traditional two parties shows how radical I think the effects will be.  If the radical change turns out to be this extreme we might even have to wait three administrations.
It is, perhaps, worth mentioning that I haven’t heard a peep from those who thought Obama was justified in getting the nobel peace prize in  2008.  Most will not even discuss the proposition that Obama has been a tremendous disappointment.
Even I have to hedge my expression of disappointment in Obama with an admission that if it weren’t Obama it would certainly have been much worse,for it would have been in hands much more sympathetic to the right wing, which would be a greater danger in my opinion.
But disappointing it has been.  So disappointing I am not as hostile to the concept of a third party as I once was.
Once upon a time I would have dismissed the idea off hand.  Third parties, under oiur current system of government always suck power from the party most of us say is most sympathetic to ideas that give rise to the third party in the first place.
It’s the classic catch 22.
Ironically, I fear this scenario may put us into the situation in which the next strong administration turns out to be Republican.   Democrats may respond to the weakness of Obama by bolting to a third party without getting enough support to beat the Republicans in 2014, even if they are more Tea Party than GOP.
If Democrats stick together, though,  and run a strong and truly progressive candidate, perhaps it will be the Tea Party that will either bolt, or more likely, drive the Republicans into well deserved obscurity by continued dominance against a truly progressive Democratic party
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2 Responses to On Government Hog Tied

  1. Dallas Smith says:

    As disappointing as Obama has been, I think there are several accomplishments that deserve credit:
    1) healthcare reform and the prospect of access to millions currently denied it
    2) gay marriage support…let’s hope the Supreme Court rules for freedom instead of institutionalized prejudice.
    3) withdrawing from Iraq and eventually from Afghanistan. McCain would have probably started another war with Iran had he won.

    • George says:

      I think the jury is still out on health reform, mainly because of it’s continud reliance on a dysfunctional model rooted on the falacious idea that, if it is to succeed at all, it must do so on the strength of there being a profit in it for someone. Removing the single payer option from the table may have, indeed, been necessary to get the measure passed, especially with the Senate apparently being controled by the Republican minority, but it is not an application of the basic idea of insurance: spreading the costs of the few sick evenly out amongst the total population. Whether the modified approach Obama settled for proves to be workable remains to be seen. If it doesn’t, the effect will be very similar to a system which continues to be woefully inadequate to the purpose.

      It reminds me of what has become of the effort to privatize the postal service. Once a great example of socialized purpose, the money making aspects are now owned by private companies and the money losing aspects are held by government. Never an example of a good socialized model, our Health care system is now in danger of becoming more profitable for the private sector by virtue of mandatory enrollment. It may not go that way, but that’s my fear.

      Re. gay rights: That, too, remains unclear as to the eventual outcome. This, like immigration reform and racism, looks like an issue that awaits the judgment of the people in the form of elections.

      As for Ieaq, Afghanistan, Iran, Syria, and international policy in general, So much depends on future events that I’m definitely of the opinion that we have to await outcomes. This is such a good example of how much better I think Obama has been than the alterntives, though, that I tend to agree that he has been immesurably better than what might have been. Recovering from Bush-Cheney is hard enough. Bush-Cheney-McCain would have definitely been worse, I think. But it remains speculative.

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