On The Supreme Court Vacancy
As I see it, Mitch McConnell is making, or, at this writing, is making, the same mistake that got the republicans into the pickle they’re in in the first place: He is thinking that not playing the political game at all is what most republicans want, when what they really want is to win some of the political battles. That is such a basic goal for them they will embrace a candidate that stands openly in opposition to all their tightly held values of democracy. If Trump is ever able to, he will gladly suspend democratic privileges in favor his own powers.The scary thing is that it looks increasingly like he may be able to,
I hedge because I just find it very unlikely that he will continue on this tact. Even though there is plenty of evidence of incredible ignorance amongst people who ought to know better, to continue on an obstructionist route with the eyes of the nation already narrowly focused on the issue, seems pretty dumb–even for these bozos. Who does he think he is fooling? Everyone who hears the recent speculation–by republican Senators themselves–that the republicans may wait until the general election before saying whether the Obama nomination will be voted on by this congress or not, recognizes it just as another republican move to have it both ways. “Let’s just wait to see if we get the white house before deciding if driving Obama to the nomination of Merrick Garland was as good as we are going to get.”
I think McConnell’s attitude was responsible for the rise of Trump in the first place. Voters are sick and tired of McConnell’s “I won’t play” attitude. When he first declared, Trump was not your typical republican. And it’s only gotten worse. He is quickly gaining a reputation as “not your average candidate for the President.” He was originally sort of the anti-McConnell vote. Now he is more the anti-establishment vote. “Anti-establishment? Let’s all vote for him!”
Of course, it’s not just McConnell. It was everything the established Republicans stood for. No wonder Trump did so well in the primaries. And his momentum is very likely to carry him to the Presidency. All the pundits have been climbing all over themselves predicting Trump’s eventual collapse. They are doing so now with just as little reason as they had back when he announced his candidacy.
The real question now is whether Hillary will manage to beat him in the general election. I don’t think she will. After all, “everyone else is supportingTrump, why not me?” And, besides, nobody likes Hillary too much. Well, maybe a few black women with long memories.
So, exercising my excellent ability to speculate, let me guess at how it might go after Trump becomes President.
First off, I think he will be very much like Hitler. My brother, who firmly thinks Hillary would be the worst thing imaginable, will be voting for him, for sure. Establishment republicans will fall in line as soon as it is undeniable that he will win the nomination.They will even line up before that, for you don’t want to be late to Trump’s party.
Trump will, I think, initially be very popular. He will remain so as long as he does not start losing wars.
He will probably line China and Russia up in a passive queue by leveling Pyongyang, North Korea, next time they threaten any sort of thermonuciear capability. I suspect China will make a big fuss, but even they are getting tired of North Korea’s antics. Not so clear is whether The lasting message will be more about “how crazy Trump is and you better not mess with America while he is in charge there” or “let’s get ready to take him on now, as he will only get stronger.” Either way, it will serve Trump’s popularity well, so long as he keeps winning wars.
I suspect Trump’s popularity will initially soar to levels last seen in Hitler’s day. Trump will use this popularity to suspend the constitution, especially if he has succeeded at getting someone to be an enemy actively at war with us.
Deporting all of the muslims or building a wall and deporting all illegal Mexican immigrants, let alone having Mexico pay for it, just isn’t going to happen. But concentration camps and gas showers are a real possibility.
Trump may survive his wars better than Hitler did his. He may even prove to be the greatest leader America has ever seen. Much like Hitler almost was for Germany. There is even the possibility Trump may very very well prove, in the log run, to be the best thing ever to happen in human history. Trump, if nothing else, seems disinclined to pretend things are different than they are. I’m speaking. of course, of Climate change.
Trump may be the first President of the United States to react, in any meaningful way, to Climate Change. Only someone with the kind of unilateral power that Trump is so eager to seize, would be capable of adequately responding.
Trump is currently the only candidate for president who might take my fear for all life on this planet seriously. If it were to come to this, even I probably would support him.
The biggest barrier between the above scenario of Trump’s Presidency, and simply wild fantasy on my part, is the identification so many are now making between Hitler and Trump. Hitler’s legacy and the recency of his reign, may be large enough and recent enough to prevent the Fourth Reich from ever seeing Trump’s rise to the most recent candidate for Fuhrer. But Trump’s personality is not the place we should look for protection from George’s fantasy. Trump will be much easier to keep out of power than to get out of power once he gets in.